Sunday

07-13-2025 Vol 2020

Lessons from Disaster: The Tragic Disconnect Between Weather Alerts and Local Action in North Carolina and Texas

When Hurricane Helene struck western North Carolina nine months ago, the region was unprepared for the catastrophic consequences.

More than 100 lives were lost, primarily due to drowning in floodwaters and landslides triggered by the heavy rainfall.

Jeff Howell, the now-retired emergency manager in Yancey County, noted that the devastation was unprecedented, leaving residents unprepared for the chaos that ensued.

Fast forward to a week ago, when the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry wreaked havoc in south central Texas.

Over 100 confirmed deaths, many involving children, left the community in anguish while search efforts continued for the missing.

Rob Kelly, County Judge in Kerr County, expressed disbelief that the disaster escalated as it did despite the warnings.

Both of these tragic events underscore a troubling trend: a significant gap exists between accurate weather alerts and the actions taken to protect vulnerable communities.

In both North Carolina and Texas, officials were forewarned of impending danger by the National Weather Service, which issued alerts hours prior to the disastrous flooding.

Local authorities in both locations acted on these warnings to varying degrees.

In Texas, some officials did make efforts to alert the public and initiate evacuations, but many others did not.

On Sept. 27, when Hurricane Helene made landfall, some local officials in North Carolina took steps to issue evacuation orders, but others failed to do so.

According to Howell, the enormity of Helene’s impact surpassed any previous experience, complicating the response to the urgent weather information.

The National Weather Service continued to provide alerts as the storm approached, offering increasingly alarming warnings about flash flooding and landslides.

They communicated directly with local emergency management and held webinars to keep officials updated.

A message posted by the regional office on social media before Helene warned residents about “significant to catastrophic, life-threatening flooding.”

Similarly, Texas officials received clear warnings about potential flash flooding the day before the storm hit.

The state emergency management agency’s regional director personally contacted local officials to alert them of the impending flooding threat.

AccuWeather issued a flash flood warning for Kerr County at 12:44 a.m. on July 4, approximately three hours before the flooding occurred, followed by the National Weather Service at 1:14 a.m.

These warnings highlighted the potential for “life-threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams.”

The alerts triggered automatic notifications to weather radios and cell phones across the nation through the Wireless Emergency Alerts system.

Despite the ample warning, many campers and local residents remained oblivious to their risks.

Jonathan Porter, chief meteorologist for AccuWeather, expressed his dismay upon learning that not all campers were evacuated from youth camps in Kerr County despite the alerts issued.

At Camp Mystic, a historic Christian summer camp for girls, a tragic toll unfolded: at least 27 campers and counselors lost their lives, and six remained unaccounted for.

The camp’s director also died while attempting to rescue children from the rising floodwaters.

Survivors described the camp’s lack of timely assistance from authorities during the crisis.

Porter highlighted the grim situation: campers should have been alerted to evacuate based on warnings, rather than being surprised by quickly rising waters that reached the second level of their bunks.

City manager Dalton Rice of Kerrville, the county seat, defended local officials, claiming there simply wasn’t enough time to warn camps as the floodwaters surged.

Yet, while jogging near the river around 3:30 a.m. — over two hours after the first warning was issued — Rice saw no indication of danger.

However, upstream, at 3:10 a.m., the river had already risen an alarming 25 feet in a mere two hours.

The National Weather Service escalated its warnings to an “emergency” status at 4:03 a.m., labeling the situation “particularly dangerous” and urging residents to seek higher ground immediately.

Local authorities expressed frustration regarding the failure to spread timely warnings and the rapid escalation of the situation.

Communication lapses in the wake of the disaster echoed throughout the community.

Residents in both states faced challenges receiving alerts, whether due to spotty cellphone service or simply turning off notifications.

Many people living in the remote mountains of North Carolina operated off the grid, restricting their connectivity and awareness of storm notifications.

In Texas, numerous Kerr County residents reported not receiving emergency alerts, yet others noted their phones continuously blared with warnings throughout the night.

Counties often employ specific apps to deliver tailored alerts to residents.

While Kerr County utilized CodeRed for its notifications, it remained unclear what alerts were sent out in the chaotic early morning hours of July 4.

Pete Jensen, a veteran emergency management official, reflected on the challenges of mobilizing communities during disasters, citing a pervasive sense of denial among individuals who believe they are not at risk.

He underscored that this denial could extend to local officials, who might misconstrue their responsibilities or underestimate the severity of impending threats.

There exists a crucial distinction between the responses observed in North Carolina and Texas.

In Texas, demands for accountability from residents, journalists, and government officials have been vocal in the aftermath of the disaster.

Governor Greg Abbott convened a special session of the Legislature to discuss necessary improvements in flood warning systems and emergency communications going forward.

Such actions contrast sharply with the aftermath seen in North Carolina, where residents have not rallied for similar accountability.

As the state legislature concluded its session in late June without addressing the need for enhanced evacuation plans or additional funding for emergency management, concerns persisted.

Senator Julie Mayfield from Asheville highlighted that North Carolina seems still entrenched in a recovery phase, lacking a proactive response to prevent future tragedies.

A review commissioned by the state’s emergency management agency acknowledged significant understaffing but failed to adequately explore issues surrounding evacuations or local emergency managers’ actions leading up to Hurricane Helene.

Erika Andresen, an Asheville resident deeply invested in disaster preparedness, voiced her concerns over the absence of action or accountability in the wake of Helene’s devastating impact.

Instinctively aware that numerous failures occurred during the previous disaster, she sought to emphasize the importance of assessing local authority responses, despite pushback from community members.

“We need accountability,” she asserted, recognizing the necessity of learning from past mistakes to improve future disaster preparedness efforts.

The tragic outcomes in both North Carolina and Texas serve as a stark reminder of the critical need for effective communication and proactive emergency management in the face of natural disasters.

image source from:propublica

Benjamin Clarke