Monday

08-04-2025 Vol 2042

Trade Policy Under President Trump: A Shift Towards Allies and Technological Leadership

President Donald Trump’s recent announcement on July 31 regarding modifications to reciprocal tariff rates signals a slight adjustment in his administration’s trade strategy, emphasizing cooperation with allied nations while still addressing unfair practices. The U.S. government’s trade policy, while on paper treating all partners equally, has notably prioritized allies such as the European Union (EU), Japan, and the United Kingdom, aiming to fortify relationships and address common challenges.

A significant aspect of these negotiations has been the inclusion of language tackling the challenges faced by U.S. companies in foreign markets due to non-tariff barriers. These unfair practices not only affect American businesses but also threaten the nation’s technological dominance in the global market. While there have been positive developments, it is clear that further efforts are necessary to level the playing field.

Here are three key observations regarding the current state of U.S. trade relationships.

First, certain trade partners seem to be retreating from discriminatory practices directed at U.S. firms. Recent trade negotiations have resulted in notable achievements for American companies, as seen in the framework agreement with the UK, which promises to mitigate non-tariff barriers that disadvantage American exports. This agreement acknowledges that these barriers not only harm U.S. products but also jeopardize national security.

Similarly, the agreement with the EU aims to eliminate unjustified digital trade barriers, with the EU committing not to impose network usage fees that could hinder U.S. tech companies. Canada has also taken steps in the right direction by reversing a digital service tax that unfairly burdened American tech firms.

Despite these advancements, discriminatory practices against American businesses persist globally. The Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) has compiled an extensive list of over 100 policies from different countries that target U.S. technological leadership. U.S. policymakers should utilize this catalogue in ongoing discussions with strategic allies to effectively address these challenges.

Secondly, while the administration maintains that strengthening American manufacturing is a priority, this goal has often been overshadowed by varied policy initiatives. President Trump and his team have offered numerous justifications for imposing tariffs, many of which extend beyond traditional trade concerns. Some of these reasons include generating revenue to address the federal budget deficit and responding to international disputes unrelated to trade, such as stances on the Middle East.

Moving forward, the focus should shift back toward reinforcing American technological leadership and promoting investments in advanced manufacturing within high-tech industries. Maintaining competitiveness requires a careful approach to tariffs, particularly on imports of essential minerals and components that support U.S. manufacturing. For instance, tariffs on semiconductor imports may undermine the very goal of boosting domestic manufacturing, leading to higher prices and economic detriment for U.S. consumers and businesses.

Lastly, the competition between the United States and China for global market share continues to heighten, underscoring the need for U.S. trade policy to reflect this reality. As negotiations with China, identified as a top trade adversary, unfold, tariffs on Chinese goods remain a contentious issue. Current tariffs hover around 50 percent, a reduction from their previous peaks, but they signify a long-term shift in trade dynamics.

The Trump administration seems to recognize that winning the techno-economic competition is not about complete decoupling but rather strategically preserving and advancing American technological supremacy. For example, by reauthorizing the export of H20 chips—designed for the Chinese market—the administration acknowledges the importance of remaining engaged in tech competition while curbing excessive reliance on Chinese imports, especially regarding critical minerals.

Looking ahead, the U.S.-China competition is not merely an economic struggle; it is a contest of which country’s products and technologies will dominate global markets. Strengthening alliances and trade partnerships will bolster America’s position in this contest. President Trump is encouraged to negotiate firmly for the elimination of non-tariff barriers that hinder American industries, especially in the digital sector.

However, maintaining elevated tariffs at levels such as 15 percent may not serve America’s long-term interests, nor those of its allies or the global economy. The ultimate objective should be to achieve significant reductions of non-tariff barriers while pursuing zero-for-zero tariff frameworks with genuine allies.

As the largest economy globally, the United States needs to navigate its trade policies carefully to foster partnerships that further its strategic goals, particularly in the face of escalating competition from China. There remains an opportunity for President Trump’s administration to balance restoring American manufacturing, addressing unfair trade practices from other nations, and forming cohesive strategies with like-minded allies in anticipation of long-term competition with China.

image source from:itif

Charlotte Hayes