STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — As autumn approaches, pumpkin spice enthusiasts might want to brace themselves for a warm and humid fall, as indicated by AccuWeather’s forecast for 2025.
The transition to cooler temperatures is expected to be slower this year across much of the eastern United States.
AccuWeather’s lead long-range expert, Paul Pastelok, highlighted that areas from the Carolinas to the Northeast and even New England will experience lingering warm and sticky conditions, particularly as children return to school.
Pastelok stated, “A slower transition to fall is expected along much of the East Coast… There is a clear trend of hot and sticky summer weather sticking around longer into the back-to-school season across much of the East Coast and many other parts of the country.”
According to forecasters at AccuWeather, late October and November may bring an increase in cold air intrusions across the U.S., particularly in states like North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan.
For New York, the first significant snowfall is anticipated to hit later in the season, likely not affecting most areas until late November or early December.
However, the North Country might report some snowfall much earlier, as soon as late October.
Alongside the warmer temperatures, the fall season is also forecasted to see heightened tropical activity across the U.S.
AccuWeather explained that an increase in tropical storms and hurricanes could lead to heavy downpours and flooding, particularly from the central Gulf Coast to the Appalachians and Midwest.
Alex DaSilva, lead hurricane expert at AccuWeather, elaborated that elevated water temperatures and atmospheric conditions are likely to support fast-forming tropical systems, posing challenges for coastal communities.
DaSilva noted, “Development can be quick, as they tend to form near land over the Southwest Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean, giving short time to prepare, rather than farther out over the Atlantic.”
The predictions also include a total of 13 to 18 named storms this hurricane season, with expectations for seven to 10 hurricanes, three to five of which may be classified as major hurricanes.
In addition to tropical weather concerns, individuals with allergies should prepare for a potentially difficult season due to the significant rainfall across the Northeast this year.
Alan Reppert, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather, pointed out that “allergies from grass and weed pollen will run higher than average into early fall,” particularly affecting areas from the Plains to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, regions that have experienced frequent and heavy rainfalls throughout the summer months.
While California and the Rockies remain the primary focus for wildfire threats in early autumn, forecasters warn that other regions, including the Northeast, may also see elevated wildfire risks if dry conditions persist.
Additionally, ongoing wildfires in northwestern Canada and the western U.S. could contribute to hazy skies in the Northeast and Midwest as smoke drifts into those areas throughout the season.
Paul Pastelok cautions that communities from Minneapolis to Chicago may experience rounds of wildfire smoke, leading to poor air quality intermittently throughout the autumn months.
“Millions of people will likely see more rounds of wildfire smoke and a hazy sky into the middle of the fall season,” Pastelok said.
This shift in the atmosphere is expected to create vibrant sunsets, making for picturesque views, but it also poses health risks, particularly for young people, older adults, outdoor workers, athletes, and anyone with respiratory issues.
As the fall season unfolds, residents across the eastern U.S. may want to remain vigilant regarding their health, air quality, and weather patterns.
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