Sunday

11-02-2025 Vol 2132

Addressing America’s Energy Crunch: The Path to Greater Efficiency and Reliability

The United States is facing an unprecedented energy crisis as electricity demand surges at an accelerating rate, reminiscent of the post-World War II era.

Almost two decades of stable energy consumption are now being challenged as the nation grapples with increasing reliance on electricity for heating, cooling, and powering advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence.

This demand spike is propelled by new industrial initiatives, particularly semiconductor manufacturing and data centers, that require vast amounts of energy.

According to projections by the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, peak electricity demand in the country is anticipated to climb by 18 percent over the next ten years, a figure comparable to the combined current demand of California, New York, and Texas.

While increased electricity demand reflects progress driven by technological advancements, it also poses significant challenges.

Rising consumption levels are contributing to higher electricity prices, leading to financial strain on consumers and raising concerns over grid reliability.

Policymakers must act promptly to avert a scenario where consumers face escalating costs, businesses experience increased operational challenges, and the nation’s leadership in technological innovation is jeopardized.

Simply building new power plants will not suffice to meet the growing demand.

A more effective alternative lies in optimizing the existing energy infrastructure, which has much untapped potential.

Currently, about half of the electric infrastructure in the U.S. is inactive at any given time, primarily designed to meet peak demand during extreme weather events.

As a result, the American electricity system is rife with inefficiencies, preventing it from operating at its full capacity.

Thankfully, technologies already exist to enhance the usage of the current system.

Innovations such as batteries for power storage, advanced sensors to facilitate electricity flow, and software that can coordinate energy sources within homes and buildings can be employed to improve overall efficiency.

To adapt to the rising demand for electricity, utilities, energy companies, and grid operators must shift their emphasis from merely maximizing output to driving down costs and improving reliability for customers.

As energy prices rise and economic pressures mount, it is crucial for policymakers and energy industry leaders to implement straightforward reforms that benefit consumers and strengthen the economy.

Consumers are already feeling the strain of escalating electricity prices, with retail electricity costs in 2025 projected to rise nearly twice as fast as overall inflation.

In the first half of the year alone, utilities sought approval for $29 billion in rate hikes, which are expected to translate to increased energy bills in the near future.

In the PJM region, which serves 67 million Americans from Michigan to Virginia, residents could experience a staggering 20 to 30 percent increase in their electricity expenses next year.

A consumer survey conducted by PowerLines revealed that two-thirds of Americans are stressed about their utility costs.

As prices increase, reliability across the grid falters.

Many power markets in the U.S. are failing to maintain adequate spare capacity to prevent outages amid surges in demand, especially during extreme temperatures.

Currently, nine of the thirteen power markets are projected to fall below a critical reliability threshold, underscoring the urgent need for action.

This combination of rising rates and declining reliability not only threatens consumer interests but also undermines U.S. national security and economic competitiveness.

The global economy is shifting, leaning towards high-tech industries such as AI and innovative energy technologies that require a robust electric system.

Competing nations like China are investing heavily in expanding their electricity generation capacity to support such transitions.

In the face of these challenges, there is a glimmer of hope.

The U.S. managed to add nearly 50 gigawatts of new power generation capacity in 2024, marking the highest increase in over two decades.

Yet this growth is still insufficient to match the surging demand, hindered by supply chain constraints and regulatory hurdles.

For example, the deployment of new natural gas plants has been significantly delayed due to a 50-month backlog in obtaining gas turbines, and new nuclear facilities require over a decade to develop.

Although renewables are more cost-effective and can be deployed more swiftly, the lengthy permitting process contributes to the challenges.

The interconnection queue, which represents the waiting line for new power sources to connect to the grid, has ballooned to 2,600 gigawatts—double the current grid capacity.

Policies like the recent One Big Beautiful Bill have escalated costs by reducing federal incentives for new renewable energy sources.

Emphasizing quantity over quality has historically characterized the U.S. approach to energy infrastructure.

In the 20th century, limited generation technologies led to a focus on building numerous power plants, often at the expense of efficiency and reliability.

Utilities, which monopolize electricity in regions, have been incentivized to deploy new capital without prioritizing operational performance, creating a system marked by underuse and inefficiency.

Data from the Federal Reserve indicates a ten-point decline in the utilization of electricity generation resources over the past decade, with reported outages rising 60 percent from 2013 to 2023.

A notable success story is Texas, which has effectively tackled its rising electricity demand without succumbing to a crisis.

Since 2021, demand in Texas grew nearly 20 percent due to population increases and the establishment of energy-intensive industries and data centers.

However, despite this rapid growth, Texas is experiencing falling electricity prices and improved grid reliability.

The state has pursued a diverse range of methods to enhance electric capacity, including streamlined connections of new power plants and the use of battery systems to manage fluctuations in demand.

Texas stands on track to enjoy the lowest wholesale electricity prices of any U.S. market by 2025, while also maintaining a steady supply of electricity throughout the summer.

The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has adopted a “connect and manage” framework, expediting the integration of new power sources.

This proactive approach allows Texas to accommodate new energy supplies to the grid more swiftly than other regions, leading to a significant capacity increase over the last two years.

Furthermore, Texas has outpaced California in deploying battery storage capacity.

As of last year, the state has installed over 12 gigawatts of battery capacity, capable of harnessing surplus solar and wind energy for later use.

In addition, the Texas legislature recently enacted Senate Bill 6, which enables grid operators to encourage large energy consumers, like data centers, to adjust their usage during peak demand periods.

These measures could translate to freeing up as much as 15 gigawatts of capacity, reflecting nearly the total demand of Houston alone.

On a national scale, if major consumers adjust their usage even minimally, it could significantly bolster the nation’s electricity production capacity.

Another avenue to address rising electricity demand is by optimizing the energy systems already in place within homes and businesses.

Millions of energy-generating, -storing, or -consuming devices currently exist but remain disconnected from one another.

Coordinating these resources can create a distributed power plant that leverages existing technology, making it a quicker and cheaper option compared to traditional energy facilities.

In New York, for example, ConEdison invested in tapping into distributed energy resources, allowing bypassing $1.2 billion in necessary physical infrastructure upgrades.

This efficiency reduces pressures on consumers by averting rising rates linked to improvements in conventional infrastructure.

Estimates from the U.S. Department of Energy suggest expanding distributed power plants could meet all anticipated growth in national electricity demand by 2030.

To tackle the challenges posed by current transmission infrastructure, policymakers need to enable enhancements that extend beyond mere new construction.

High-voltage transmission projects have seen a dramatic decline, with only 55 miles constructed in 2023 compared to a previous average of 1,700 miles per year between 2010 and 2014.

This stagnation in transmission construction has consequently raised consumer electricity costs, contributing an excess of $11.5 billion to electricity expenses in 2023.

By investing in new technologies and utilizing established methods, existing transmission lines could be upgraded to cancel out billions of dollars each year.

Innovative solutions such as advanced conductors can double the capacity of transmission lines.

Moreover, employing sensors and software can optimize electricity flow, pushing capacity by 20 percent or more where feasible.

Importantly, these enhancements do not require extensive permitting processes, allowing for deployment in a matter of months instead of years.

Other regions, too, are beginning to realize the potential of these technologies; Montana’s legislature has recently passed a law incentivizing utilities to adopt advanced conductors.

In response to the impending energy crisis, it is essential for federal, regional, and state policymakers to enact reforms that prioritize consumer interests and leverage efficient solutions.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) must assert its influence by mandating interconnection reforms, setting clear timelines for improvements, and enforcing penalties for underperformance.

The electric supply dilemma offers a critical opportunity to overhaul the way energy systems operate; FERC must ensure that the nation’s capacity grows rapidly everywhere, emulating Texas’ progress.

Key reforms should aim to equally position storage and distributed energy systems with traditional power plants in energy production evaluations.

Furthermore, FERC must encourage grid planners to adopt technological upgrades for wires and transmission systems.

Despite a previous administration’s focus on efficiency, regulatory complexities continue to cloud the investment landscape.

Streamlining the electric system is a crucial area for the executive branch to tackle, breaking through the bureaucratic impediments that hinder progress.

State policymakers are equally important, as public utility commissions heavily influence utility regulations.

For years, public neglect provided utilities and lobbyists with the leverage to resist necessary reform, but voter awareness of soaring energy costs is changing the political landscape.

In New Jersey, where households have witnessed rate spikes of up to 20 percent, gubernatorial contenders are voicing concerns over energy costs as a central campaign issue.

Similarly, governors in other states are advocating for swift interconnection reforms to facilitate the grid’s expansion and reduce operational expenses for consumers.

Recent actions in Indiana demonstrate continued efforts to represent consumer interests, appointing a Utility Consumer Counselor to evaluate utilities’ profits and promote lower rates.

Implementing these reforms would benefit American workers and consumers alike.

Maximizing the efficiency of existing energy systems requires cultivating a skilled workforce capable of executing these enhancements.

Upgrading energy infrastructure is labor-intensive and necessitates expertise from electricians, line workers, HVAC technicians, and power engineers, rather than simply relying on software integration.

Occupations linked to solar and wind energy are now among the fastest-growing in the economy, expected to soar by nearly 50 percent over the next decade.

Moreover, research indicates that experienced technicians who service the electric system will work in tandem with emerging artificial intelligence tools to optimize performance.

The path to energy reform, while complex and demanding, offers actionable solutions to counter the current crisis.

If policymakers, utilities, and energy businesses concentrate on maximizing their existing resources, they have the potential to lower electricity costs while preparing the U.S. to lead the next wave of technological advancement.

By focusing on effective solutions now, the United States can transform its energy challenges into a competitive advantage.

image source from:foreignaffairs

Benjamin Clarke