The idea of California seceding from the United States, often dismissed as attention-seeking and far-fetched, is gaining unexpected traction.
Historically, California was a breakaway state from Mexico for a brief period, and the legalities around state independence are complex.
The U.S. Civil War serves as a stark reminder of the consequences of such attempts, leading many to believe that the notion of a sovereign California is unlikely.
However, recent developments suggest that the movement, once viewed as a fringe idea, has become more plausible in light of the current political climate.
Growing dissatisfaction with federal actions, including the increased militarization seen in Los Angeles, has prompted a conversation about secession among citizens and scholars alike.
Erwin Chemerinsky, dean of UC Berkeley’s law school, pointed out that while he doesn’t believe secession is likely or desirable, it’s a topic that could become more relevant if federalism continues to deteriorate.
Conversations around “soft secession” are bubbling up, particularly among leaders in blue states.
An initiative termed the “West Coast Health Alliance” has emerged, consisting of California, Oregon, Washington, and Hawaii, primarily aimed at protesting the federal government’s policies, particularly those led by Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Even some conservative figures are acknowledging the divisive nature of current politics.
Republican Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene has advocated for a “peaceful national divorce,” emphasizing the growing divide between ideological factions in the country.
Public sentiment in California is shifting as well.
A YouGov poll conducted in June suggested that around 44% of Californians would consider a peaceful separation from the United States, with 56% believing independence could lead to a better future for the state.
Although the poll was based on a small sample, the long-standing desire for California to explore its autonomy undoubtedly persists since it joined the union in 1850.
Various proposals for California’s separation, ranging from the creation of smaller states to complete independence, have circulated over the years.
One significant attempt to divide California into three separate states even made it onto the 2018 ballot, although it was ultimately removed by the state Supreme Court.
Marcus Ruiz Evans, co-founder of the CalExit initiative, remains optimistic about the movement’s future.
He asserts that CalExit has evolved, boasting a more extensive network, greater political connections, and additional funding, although he acknowledges the need for more resources.
Evans believes that California’s potential independence offers an attractive proposition for both its citizens and the current federal leadership.
He emphasizes that if California were to pursue independence, it would also affect the balance of power in Congress, particularly stripping the Democratic Party of significant representation.
With 43 Democratic House members and two Democratic senators, California’s departure could consolidate Republican power for the foreseeable future.
Evans stated, “We are of the opinion that Trump and Republicans hate us and will let us go,” highlighting the complex political landscape that underscores the push for California’s sovereignty.
While he acknowledges the animosity from some political leaders toward California, skepticism remains on whether that sentiment would translate into a genuine willingness for the state to gain independence.
As the idea of a separate California gains ground, it reflects broader trends in American politics and an increasing willingness to explore radical ideas amidst turmoil.
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