The first part of the weekend is looking good for Houston, but residents should brace for thunderstorms on Easter Sunday.
Some of these storms could be strong, followed by additional storm chances next week, as the springtime weather pattern continues to unfold.
Today and Saturday, those who enjoy hot weather will be in luck, with temperatures climbing to or beyond 90 degrees today.
Breezy conditions are expected, with south winds gusting up to 30 mph.
Other than that, the forecast calls for a mix of clouds and sun.
Saturday will bring a slightly cloudier sky.
A very mild morning is anticipated, with lows not dipping much below 75 degrees, which is close to a record for the warmest April 19th morning.
The day should again be breezy, mostly cloudy, and just a bit cooler with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Shower chances will be minimal, but a few raindrops cannot be entirely ruled out, especially toward the Hill Country.
On Easter Sunday, the morning will start off interesting.
A line or complex of thunderstorms is expected near I-35 and the Austin area around sunrise.
As these storms cross I-35 and move toward southeast Texas, they are likely to weaken.
Thus, the morning should generally be mostly cloudy, with a couple of showers possible here or there.
As the boundary from this decaying line of storms reaches Houston in the afternoon, new thunderstorms could develop in the area.
Some of these storms may become strong, with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) placing Houston partially in a marginal (1 out of 5) risk for severe weather on Sunday.
This forecast may change leading up to Sunday, so residents are advised to stay updated.
In addition to the risk of strong to severe storms, atmospheric moisture levels are expected to be more reminiscent of mid-summer, potentially leading to torrential downpours and localized street flooding.
Eric and I will keep an eye on the situation and provide updates for the community on Sunday morning.
Looking ahead to next week, the cold front responsible for the Sunday storms is likely to stall out or wash out over the region.
It is possible that the focus of thunderstorm activity on Monday will primarily remain east of Houston, nearer to Lake Charles and Beaumont.
However, by Tuesday, this activity may shift back toward Houston, creating additional chances for scattered storms on Tuesday and possibly continuing into Wednesday or Thursday.
During this time of year, it’s not uncommon to see afternoon storms develop in north or central Texas, organizing into clusters that travel toward Houston.
These storm complexes are known as mesoscale convective systems (or MCSs), and residents should be prepared for potential occurrences.
The bottom line is that the weather looks unsettled for the week ahead.
While it may be early to detail the potential specifics of the upcoming weather, it is clear that next week will likely be active.
Clouds and shower chances will help lower daytime temperatures, with highs expected to be in the low 80s, while warm nighttime temperatures will linger in the upper 60s to low 70s.
image source from：https://spacecityweather.com/a-somewhat-sloppy-springtime-weather-pattern-looks-to-set-up-over-houston-beginning-on-easter/
