A comprehensive weather forecast for the Big Island has been issued, detailing expected conditions for tonight and the coming days.
In Hilo, residents can expect a cloudy night filled with numerous showers.
The low temperatures are anticipated to range from 64 to 70 degrees near the shore, dipping to around 52 to 58 degrees at elevations of 4,000 feet.
East winds will persist up to 10 mph, shifting to the northwest after midnight, with gusts potentially reaching 30 mph.
The chance of rain stands at 70 percent.
On Monday, skies will remain mostly cloudy with numerous showers expected in the morning and scattered showers in the afternoon.
Highs will be between 79 to 84 degrees near the shore while temperatures at 4,000 feet will be around 67 degrees.
East winds will be up to 15 mph with a continued 70 percent chance of rain.
As Monday night approaches, conditions will still be mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the evening, followed by numerous showers after midnight.
Lows will drop to 63 to 70 degrees near the shore and 50 to 57 degrees at higher elevations, with northeast winds up to 15 mph maintaining a 70 percent chance of rain.
Meanwhile, Kona will experience a cloudy night with scattered showers in the evening transitioning into isolated showers after midnight, accompanied by haze.
Low temperatures will hover around 73 degrees near the shore, cooling to between 48 to 54 degrees near 5,000 feet.
The chance of rain is around 50 percent with light winds.
On Monday, expect mostly cloudy conditions with isolated morning showers followed by scattered afternoon showers and persistent haze.
High temperatures are forecasted at 84 to 89 degrees near the shore, around 67 degrees near 5,000 feet, and the chance of rain remains at 50 percent.
As the evening arrives, the weather will remain mostly cloudy with scattered showers before becoming partly cloudy with isolated showers after midnight.
Low temperatures will range from 72 degrees near the shore to between 47 to 52 degrees near higher elevations.
Again, light winds will prevail, with a continued 50 percent chance of rain.
In Waimea, the weather tonight will also be mostly cloudy and breezy, with scattered showers expected in the evening transitioning to isolated showers post-midnight.
Haze will persist through the night, and lows will range from 63 to 72 degrees near the shore to 54 to 62 degrees near 3,000 feet.
East winds will reach speeds of up to 20 mph, with a rain probability of 50 percent.
Monday’s forecast includes mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions, isolated morning showers, and scattered afternoon showers interspersed with haze.
Highs will be around 80 degrees near the shore and 70 to 79 degrees near 3,000 feet, with east winds transitioning to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
The chance of rain decreases to about 40 percent.
The night will remain breezy and partly cloudy, with isolated showers expected.
Temperature lows will reach from 63 to 71 degrees near the shore and 54 to 62 degrees near higher elevations, with east winds at 10 to 20 mph and a lower rain chance of 20 percent.
Kohala’s weather mirrors Waimea tonight, with cloudy and breezy conditions leading to scattered showers in the evening and isolated showers post-midnight.
Low temperatures will align with Waimea’s, ranging from 63 to 72 degrees near the shore to 54 to 62 degrees at higher elevations, alongside east winds up to 20 mph and a 50 percent chance of rain.
On Monday, temperatures and conditions will reflect those of Waimea, with mostly cloudy, breezy weather, isolated morning showers, and scattered afternoon showers, maintaining a 40 percent chance of rain.
The night will also be breezy and partly cloudy with isolated showers, along with comparable temperature lows.
The South Big Island will see cloudy and breezy conditions tonight, with scattered showers in the evening followed by isolated showers post-midnight and persistent haze.
Low temperatures will be around 73 degrees near the shore and close to 51 degrees at higher elevations, with east winds transitioning to northeasterly at 10 to 25 mph and a rain chance of 40 percent.
Monday’s forecast shows mostly cloudy skies with breezy conditions and isolated morning showers, giving way to scattered afternoon showers under hazy conditions.
Highs will reach around 87 degrees near the shore and about 66 degrees at higher elevations, with east winds remaining strong.
On Monday night, the forecast indicates partly cloudy conditions with breezy winds, isolated evening showers, and lows mirroring earlier trends.
In Puna, the weather outlook for tonight is similar to Hilo, with numerous showers anticipated, lows ranging from 64 to 70 degrees near the shore to about 52 to 58 degrees at 4,000 feet.
East winds will persist up to 10 mph before shifting to the northwest after midnight with gusts of 30 mph, maintaining a rain chance of 70 percent.
Monday will mirror conditions in Hilo, featuring scattered morning showers transitioning to numerous showers in the afternoon and highs ranging from 79 to 84 degrees near the shore to around 67 at higher elevations, backed by 70 percent chance of rain.
As Monday night unfolds, expect a continuation of the cloudy weather with scattered showers in the evening and increasing to numerous after midnight, alongside lows and wind patterns similar to previous forecasts.
In Waikoloa, residents should prepare for a mostly cloudy night with isolated evening showers transitioning into scattered showers afterwards.
Haze will prevail as temperatures drop to around 73 degrees near the shore and between 51 to 56 degrees above 4,000 feet, with east winds up to 15 mph and a 50 percent chance of rain.
Monday’s weather will see mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers followed by scattered afternoon showers with haze, alongside high temperatures of 83 to 89 degrees near the shore and 64 to 72 degrees above 4,000 feet.
As Monday night arrives, conditions will transition to mostly cloudy followed by a partly cloudy outlook, with haze continuing, and low temperatures reflecting earlier conditions.
Overall, the weather forecast suggests a pattern of moderate to locally breezy east-southeast trade winds that will continue into the coming days.
A broad surface trough developing to the west of the islands is projected to enhance showers temporarily, particularly favoring windward and mauka regions during nights and leeward areas during afternoon hours.
Advancing into Monday night, a more stable easterly trade wind pattern is predicted, aiding the decrease in shower activity as upper level heights rise, and drier air begins to filter in from the east.
As the week progresses, expect more typical easterly wind conditions to dominate the weather pattern, with possible easing of the trade winds by next weekend.
Current atmospheric conditions include a shift to an east-southeast steering flow, causing low-level clouds and showers to ride along the trades, creating variable weather across the island chain.
Meteorologists have noted that the conditions leading up to the broad surface trough are influencing the current high cloud coverage, particularly impacting the western regions of the island.
This pattern gives a glimpse of what is expected through the short term, while vog remains a concern, especially as the east-southeast flow pushes it across the islands and momentarily westward by midweek.
Aviation conditions indicate moderate to breezy east-southeasterly winds continuing through Monday, potentially leading to mountain obscuration, particularly over Kauai and Oahu.
The forecast anticipates that VFR conditions will be most common, but there may be periods of MVFR ceilings and visibility due to existing passing showers.
AIRMET Sierra and AIRMET Tango are currently effective for mountain obscuration and moderate turbulence downwind of the islands’ terrain, likely remaining in effect into Monday.
In terms of marine forecasts, fresh east-southeast winds are expected tonight, with a Small Craft Advisory in place due to stronger winds anticipated over typical windy waters and leeward Maui waters through Monday.
As the surface ridge rebuilds to the north, trade winds are expected to shift back to their usual easterly direction, with the advisory likely adjusted accordingly.
The late-season northwest swell will decrease, while south-facing shores continue to see a mix of small background swell, followed by the potential of a more significant swell late Tuesday and Wednesday.
A long-period south-southwest swell is forecasted to build on Friday, potentially leading to surf well above average by the weekend.
Overall, the weather report emphasizes how dynamic conditions will evolve over the next few days and the careful watch that meteorologists will maintain over changing weather patterns.
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