Thursday

05-01-2025 Vol 1947

US-China Trade War Escalates as China Raises Tariffs to 125%

On Friday, China announced that it will hike tariffs on US goods to 125%, up from 84%, in retaliation against President Trump’s growing tariffs.

This countermeasure will take effect on Saturday and adds fuel to the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, which has already caused significant turmoil in US stock markets.

Despite the increasing tensions, the Trump administration has attempted to reassure investors, asserting that things would ‘work out’ with China.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed optimism, stating that the US would achieve a ‘great certainty’ after a temporary 90-day halt on tariffs was implemented.

Meanwhile, the US tariffs on Chinese imports have now reached at least 145%, a figure that contradicts Trump’s earlier estimate of 125%.

As the administration navigates the complexities of tariff negotiations, the baseline 10% tariff, which went into effect on April 5, remains in place for all affected imports into the United States.

In light of the escalating trade conflict, the European Union matched the US pause on retaliatory duties, further complicating the landscape for international trade.

The mood among investors continues to be clouded by worries surrounding the unfolding tariff saga.

Additionally, President Trump has reportedly warned Chinese officials regarding potential retaliation, while the White House urged President Xi Jinping to discuss these issues directly with Trump, according to CNN.

Amidst the uncertainty, Beijing indicated that it would not engage in further tariff hikes unless the US continued its escalatory measures.

In a surprising development, the Trump administration is exempting various electronics, including smartphones and computers, from the reciprocal tariffs.

This decision provides relief to tech consumers and companies like Apple and Samsung, who would have faced significant price increases.

Dallas Dolen, a principal in PwC’s technology practice, remarked on the unpredictability of the situation, saying, ‘I think, broadly speaking, there’s no way to predict what happens next.’

As the US trade policies evolve, European travel to the United States has reportedly declined due to concerns about the current administration’s approach to tariffs and immigration.

In a related development, American maple syrup farmers have expressed frustration over the impact of tariffs on their business, despite selling primarily within the US market.

Spanish olive oil producers are taking precautionary steps to adjust to a changing tariff environment, increasing exports to the US before potential future tariffs could disrupt trade.

Some producers are even considering producing olive oil within the US to mitigate the effects of tariffs, as they respond to potential increases from 10% to 25%.

Constellation Brands, the maker of popular beers such as Corona and Modelo, is facing challenges resulting from the current tariff policies.

CEO Bill Newlands noted that inflation and reduced consumer spending are hindering sales, reflecting broader issues faced by the industry.

As companies grapple with changing tariff rates, the euro has strengthened in comparison to the dollar, making it a more attractive option for investors amid the turbulence.

Following a week of chaos, US stocks ended positively, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing their best weeks since 2023.

As volatility shook markets, investors navigated dramatic fluctuations, leading to a rally followed by a sell-off that characterized the week.

Federal Reserve officials have indicated that President Trump’s tariff policies may lead to slower economic growth and increased inflation.

Boston Fed President Susan Collins warned that inflation may rise above 3%, while New York Fed President John Williams projected economic growth to fall to just below 1%.

Collins underscored the uncertainty many firms are experiencing, suggesting that they are taking a wait-and-see approach to the current tariff climate.

Amidst all of this, the White House has claimed that it has received numerous inquiries from countries interested in negotiating trade deals, particularly after the US paused tariffs on several nations.

Press Secretary Karoline Levitt stated, ‘Phones are ringing off the hook’ as other countries seek to establish beneficial agreements with the US.

Industries are closely watching the impact of tariffs on inflation, with significant attention on how consumer sentiment is shifting amidst rising prices and uncertainty on the economic horizon.

Consumer confidence was observed to decline even before the recent pause in tariffs, signaling growing apprehension about the economy’s trajectory.

Furthermore, the Trump administration reportedly sought a phone call with Chinese officials ahead of their recent retaliatory measures, indicating a desire for further dialogue amid escalating tensions.

In a move to ease trade relations, Thailand’s finance minister announced plans to reduce tariffs on US corn imports, reflecting the complexities of global trade amid conflicts.

As part of these ongoing developments, the US and India have finalized the framework for a first phase of a trade deal.

The negotiations are expected to result in significant agreements within the next 90 days, promising potential changes in the trade landscape.

Chinese electronics seller Anker has begun raising prices on its products sold on Amazon in response to increasing tariffs, showing the direct impact of policy shifts on consumers.

Tesla has also halted orders for US-made Model S and Model X vehicles in China following recent tariffs, further highlighting the repercussions of the trade conflict.

In summary, the escalating trade war between the US and China marks a distinct intensification of relations between the two largest economies, as tariffs become a significant focus of global economic uncertainty.

As companies and consumers adjust to the ongoing changes, it remains critical to monitor how these developments will shape the economic landscape moving forward.

image source from:https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/trump-tariffs-live-updates-cell-phones-chips-and-laptops-get-a-reprieve-from-tariffs-china-hikes-tariffs-on-us-goods-to-125-191201707.html

Abigail Harper